Publicly inspectable performance
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Verified Quantalis Forecast Performance

Inspect how published Quantalis forecast ranges performed against stored market data. Select a market and period to review verified hit rates, forecast horizons, real market replay and completed forecast outcomes.

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Enter the Quantalis forecast run ID to inspect that exact prediction, all published horizons and its market outcome.
Analytics powered by Galaksija Engine
Statistics period: 7D Last calculated: 02 Oct 2026, 04:25 Qualified threshold: 70%
24H 7D ALL TIME

Interactive market overview

TradingView Advanced Charts for the selected Quantalis market. Use TradingView's timeframe, drawing and inspection tools before reviewing the forecast statistics below.

Coinbase · BTC/USD

Live-style market inspection using Quantalis stored OHLC data.

Selected marketCoinbase · BTC/USD
Stored candle interval1 min
Statistics period7D
Charting layer: TradingView Advanced Charts. Market data: Quantalis datafeed / stored exchange candles.

Latest forecast runs

Prediction timestamps shown in Quantalis prediction time: CET (UTC+1), matching Telegram forecasts.

Select a recent run to open its full analytics and TradingView market verification.

Run replay opens with
1790907947659-138489
02 Oct 03:25
Coinbase · BTC/USD · 84,869.29
Ranges 3 Pending TouchRate 61%
1790907767344-137929
02 Oct 03:22
Coinbase · BTC/USD · 84,875.36
Ranges 3 Hit 100% TouchRate 68%
1790907587997-137391
02 Oct 03:19
Coinbase · BTC/USD · 84,980.28
Ranges 3 Pending TouchRate 44%
1790907408145-136858
02 Oct 03:16
Coinbase · BTC/USD · 84,997.64
Ranges 3 Pending TouchRate 40%
1790907227516-136311
02 Oct 03:13
Coinbase · BTC/USD · 85,049.12
Ranges 3 Pending TouchRate 42%
1790907047466-135774
02 Oct 03:10
Coinbase · BTC/USD · 85,089.20
Ranges 3 Pending TouchRate 37%
1790906867409-135241
02 Oct 03:07
Coinbase · BTC/USD · 84,959.52
Ranges 3 Hit 100% TouchRate 37%
1790906687250-134695
02 Oct 03:04
Coinbase · BTC/USD · 84,934.39
Ranges 3 Hit 100% TouchRate 42%
1790906507316-134158
02 Oct 03:01
Coinbase · BTC/USD · 84,917.42
Ranges 3 Hit 100% TouchRate 48%
1790906327044-133561
02 Oct 02:58
Coinbase · BTC/USD · 84,887.05
Ranges 3 Hit 100% TouchRate 58%
1790906147791-133013
02 Oct 02:55
Coinbase · BTC/USD · 84,828.07
Ranges 3 Hit 100% TouchRate 68%
1790905967089-132474
02 Oct 02:52
Coinbase · BTC/USD · 84,861.00
Ranges 3 Hit 100% TouchRate 62%

Clicking a run keeps the selected market and opens the detailed run analysis below.

Single Forecast Analysis

Forecast Run 1790903266882-124371

Detailed inspection of the exact prediction recorded by Quantalis and its later market-verified outcome. Historical context below uses only forecasts published before this run.

Permanent view
Forecast ID 1790903266882-124371
Published 2026-10-02 02:07:34
Market Coinbase · BTC/USD
Source price 84,689.7600
Run Hit Rate
100.00%
3 touched of 3 completed horizons.
Published TouchRate
74.33%
Average model estimate across this run's published horizons.
First Verified Touch
2026-10-02 03:10:00
Market price 84,669.9900.
Actual Market Range
84,489.4500 → 85,096.1500
Market low/high across the run's full published validity window.

Forecast Run 1790903266882-124371 · TradingView verification

Market movement around publication time with the exact published forecast horizons overlaid on the chart.

Run replay
Vertical marker = forecast publication time. Rectangles = published 30 / 60 / 90 minute forecast zones. Touch markers = validator-recorded first touches.

Published horizons and verified outcomes

Every range stored under forecast run 1790903266882-124371.

Horizon Published range TouchRate Valid interval Result Verified touch
30 min 84,669.9400 → 84,669.9900 80.00% 2026-10-02 02:07:34
→ 2026-10-02 02:37:34 		touched 2026-10-02 02:10:00
@ 84,669.9900
60 min 84,622.3500 → 84,622.4500 58.00% 2026-10-02 02:07:34
→ 2026-10-02 03:07:34 		touched 2026-10-02 02:15:00
@ 84,622.4500
90 min 84,656.9500 → 84,657.0700 85.00% 2026-10-02 02:07:34
→ 2026-10-02 03:37:34 		touched 2026-10-02 02:11:00
@ 84,657.0700
Historical context at publication time 70.68% same-market verified hit rate before this run
Prior evaluated ranges 53,118 only completed observations published earlier
Prior published TouchRate 69.05% model expectation before this run
Historical context is intentionally cut off at 2026-10-02 02:07:34 so future forecast outcomes cannot improve the statistics shown as having been known when this prediction was published.

Verified performance overview

The four headline metrics below use completed market outcomes for the selected market and period.

Verified Forecast Hit Rate
71.09%
Actual market reached the published forecast zone in 9,982 evaluated ranges.
Qualified Forecast Hit Rate
80.06%
Verified performance for forecasts meeting the current 70% qualification threshold.
Evaluated Ranges
9,982
Completed touched + not touched observations. Pending ranges are excluded.
Median Time to Touch
4m 25
Median time from range validity to the first verified market touch.
Verified Hit Rate is calculated after the market outcome is known.
Published TouchRate: 68.41% is the model estimate stored with the original forecast; it is not used as a substitute for the verified result.
Pending: 35 open ranges are excluded until their forecast horizon ends.

Market Replay: forecast vs. actual market

Forecast ranges and actual stored market candles on the same time axis. This makes individual outcomes visually inspectable.

Coinbase · BTC/USD

2026-10-01 22:26:00 → 2026-10-02 04:26:00 · 1 min candles

Forecast zones over actual market

TradingView replay of the latest stored market window with Quantalis forecast overlays.

Market replay
30 / 60 / 90 minute zones are drawn from the published forecast ranges. Viewport: 2026-10-01 22:26:00 → 2026-10-02 04:26:00

Forecast performance by horizon

TradingView-style · Quantalis Analytics

Verified and published performance across the 30, 60 and 90 minute forecast horizons. Values are calculated from the same verified Quantalis forecast data used elsewhere on this page.

QNT · HORIZON PERFORMANCE
Selected market: Coinbase · BTC/USD · Period: 7D
VERIFIED DATA
30m / 60m / 90m Percent scale 0–100% Quantalis verified statistics
70.88%
59.64%
84.98%
83.03%
30 min 3,334 evaluated
71.43%
70.39%
80.16%
84.04%
60 min 3,325 evaluated
70.96%
75.21%
77.18%
85.65%
90 min 3,323 evaluated
Forecast Hit Published TouchRate Qualified Hit Qualified Published TouchRate
Hover a column for exact values. Source: Quantalis verified forecast database

14-day verified performance trend

Daily verified performance reconstructed from completed forecast ranges for the latest 14 days available.

QNT · 14-DAY PERFORMANCE
Selected market: Coinbase · BTC/USD · Period-independent 14-day view
Analytics view
14D Daily Percent scale Quantalis verified statistics
Forecast Hit Rate Qualified Forecast Hit Rate Published TouchRate
Qualified = published TouchRate ≥ 70%. Invalid, cancelled and pending outcomes are excluded.

Recent evaluated forecasts

A compact audit view of recently completed forecast ranges and their recorded result.

Forecast Market Horizon Forecast range Published TouchRate Result Verified touch
1790907767344-137929
2026-10-02 03:22:35 		Coinbase
BTC 		30 min 84,889.8700 → 84,889.9200 89.00% touched 2026-10-02 04:22:00
@ 84,889.8700
1790906867409-135241
2026-10-02 03:07:35 		Coinbase
BTC 		30 min 85,069.4900 → 85,069.5500 24.00% touched 2026-10-02 04:09:00
@ 85,069.4900
1790906867409-135241
2026-10-02 03:07:35 		Coinbase
BTC 		90 min 85,073.6800 → 85,073.8100 56.00% touched 2026-10-02 04:09:00
@ 85,073.6800
1790906687250-134695
2026-10-02 03:04:34 		Coinbase
BTC 		30 min 85,043.0300 → 85,045.7500 22.00% touched 2026-10-02 04:05:00
@ 85,043.0300
1790906687250-134695
2026-10-02 03:04:34 		Coinbase
BTC 		60 min 85,051.3900 → 85,051.4900 41.00% touched 2026-10-02 04:08:00
@ 85,051.3900
1790906687250-134695
2026-10-02 03:04:34 		Coinbase
BTC 		90 min 85,031.9000 → 85,032.0300 62.00% touched 2026-10-02 04:05:00
@ 85,031.9000
1790906507316-134158
2026-10-02 03:01:35 		Coinbase
BTC 		30 min 85,027.3900 → 85,027.4500 20.00% touched 2026-10-02 04:05:00
@ 85,027.3900
1790906507316-134158
2026-10-02 03:01:35 		Coinbase
BTC 		60 min 85,007.5300 → 85,007.6200 52.00% touched 2026-10-02 04:05:00
@ 85,007.5300
1790906507316-134158
2026-10-02 03:01:35 		Coinbase
BTC 		90 min 84,988.9500 → 84,989.0800 72.00% touched 2026-10-02 04:04:00
@ 84,988.9500
1790906327044-133561
2026-10-02 02:58:35 		Coinbase
BTC 		30 min 84,996.5300 → 84,997.5700 19.00% touched 2026-10-02 04:04:00
@ 84,996.5300
1790906327044-133561
2026-10-02 02:58:35 		Coinbase
BTC 		60 min 84,944.2100 → 84,944.3000 69.00% touched 2026-10-02 04:02:00
@ 84,944.2100
1790906327044-133561
2026-10-02 02:58:35 		Coinbase
BTC 		90 min 84,918.1600 → 84,918.2900 87.00% touched 2026-10-02 04:01:00
@ 84,918.1600
1790906147791-133013
2026-10-02 02:55:34 		Coinbase
BTC 		30 min 84,933.5400 → 84,933.5900 20.00% touched 2026-10-02 04:02:00
@ 84,933.5400
1790906147791-133013
2026-10-02 02:55:34 		Coinbase
BTC 		60 min 84,846.2300 → 84,846.3300 90.00% touched 2026-10-02 03:55:00
@ 84,846.2300
1790906147791-133013
2026-10-02 02:55:34 		Coinbase
BTC 		90 min 84,809.7700 → 84,809.9000 93.00% touched 2026-10-02 03:55:00
@ 84,809.9000
1790905967089-132474
2026-10-02 02:52:34 		Coinbase
BTC 		30 min 84,970.9800 → 84,971.0200 17.00% touched 2026-10-02 04:04:00
@ 84,970.9800
1790905967089-132474
2026-10-02 02:52:34 		Coinbase
BTC 		60 min 84,910.6200 → 84,910.7200 72.00% touched 2026-10-02 03:53:00
@ 84,910.6200
1790905967089-132474
2026-10-02 02:52:34 		Coinbase
BTC 		90 min 84,867.8100 → 84,867.9400 97.00% touched 2026-10-02 03:52:00
@ 84,867.8100

Data sources & verification

Quantalis combines its originally published forecast data with independently collected market-price data for the selected market. TradingView is used as the charting and visualization layer.

Market price data

Price verification uses stored OHLC market candles collected by the Quantalis market-data pipeline for the currently selected exchange and instrument.

Selected source: Coinbase · BTC/USD
Configured data provider: coinbase

Quantalis forecast data

Forecast statistics use the original Quantalis outputs captured at publication time, including forecast timestamp, source price, published 30 / 60 / 90 minute ranges and Published TouchRate.

Forecast records are stored before the subsequent market outcome is known and are later used by the verification process.

Automated verification

Quantalis automatically compares each published forecast range with subsequent stored market candles during that range's defined validity window.

A result is recorded as touched or not touched; pending, invalid and cancelled records are excluded from completed hit-rate calculations.

TradingView Advanced Charts

TradingView provides the interactive charting technology used to display market movement and Quantalis forecast overlays on this page.

TradingView is not the source of Quantalis forecasts and does not verify or certify Quantalis performance results.

How these statistics are calculated

Public performance numbers should be understandable as well as visible.

Verified Forecast Hit Rate

Each forecast range has a defined validity interval. Stored market candles are checked against that range. A range is marked touched when the actual market reaches the published forecast zone during its valid horizon.

Hit Rate uses only completed touched + not touched observations. Pending, invalid and cancelled records do not count toward the denominator.

Qualified Forecast Hit Rate

Qualified statistics apply the same market verification, but only to forecasts that pass the current qualification rule.

The current rule displayed on this page is a published TouchRate threshold of 70% or higher. This threshold can evolve as the qualification model is refined.

Published TouchRate

Published TouchRate is the estimate included with the original model output. It is shown alongside the later verified result so visitors can compare model expectation with observed performance.

It is not substituted for the verified market result.

Market verification data

The verification chart uses the same stored market candles used by the validation process. Forecast zones and real High / Low / Close price movement are plotted on the same time axis.

Statistics are calculated periodically. The exact calculation time is displayed at the top of the page.

Data completeness notice: A collection interruption was detected for the selected market in this statistics period (largest observed gap between consecutive forecast runs: 37 minutes). Performance statistics are calculated from the records that were successfully collected and verified, so results for the affected interval may not represent the complete forecast stream.
Remark: Forecast outcomes are automatically verified by the Quantalis system by comparing published forecast ranges with stored market data. This is an internal system verification and does not represent independent third-party verification.
Important: These statistics describe historical analytical outputs and their subsequent comparison with market data. They do not guarantee future performance and do not constitute investment advice, recommendation or financial guidance.
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