Publicly inspectable performance

Verified Quantalis Forecast Performance

Inspect how published Quantalis forecast ranges performed against stored market data. Select a market and period to review verified hit rates, forecast horizons, real market replay and completed forecast outcomes.

Clear
Enter the Quantalis forecast run ID to inspect that exact prediction, all published horizons and its market outcome.
Analytics powered by Galaksija Engine
Statistics period: 24H Last calculated: 02 Nov 2026, 15:05 Qualified threshold: 70%
24H 7D ALL TIME
Single Forecast Analysis

Forecast Run 1793620193151-1557790

Detailed inspection of the exact prediction recorded by Quantalis and its later market-verified outcome. Historical context below uses only forecasts published before this run.

Permanent view
Forecast ID 1793620193151-1557790
Published 2026-11-02 12:49:36
Market Coinbase · BTC/USD
Source price 77,707.6800
Run Hit Rate
66.67%
2 touched of 3 completed horizons.
Published TouchRate
58.00%
Average model estimate across this run's published horizons.
First Verified Touch
2026-11-02 13:41:00
Market price 77,618.1500.
Actual Market Range
77,473.2700 → 77,993.1000
Market low/high across the run's full published validity window.

Published horizons and verified outcomes

Every range stored under forecast run 1793620193151-1557790.

Horizon Published range TouchRate Valid interval Result Verified touch
30 min 77,670.8900 → 77,670.9400 64.00% 2026-11-02 12:49:36
→ 2026-11-02 13:19:36 		not touched —
60 min 77,574.0000 → 77,574.1000 39.00% 2026-11-02 12:49:36
→ 2026-11-02 13:49:36 		touched 2026-11-02 13:42:00
@ 77,574.1000
90 min 77,618.0200 → 77,618.1500 71.00% 2026-11-02 12:49:36
→ 2026-11-02 14:19:36 		touched 2026-11-02 13:41:00
@ 77,618.1500
Historical context at publication time 71.63% same-market verified hit rate before this run
Prior evaluated ranges 97,575 only completed observations published earlier
Prior published TouchRate 68.67% model expectation before this run
Historical context is intentionally cut off at 2026-11-02 12:49:36 so future forecast outcomes cannot improve the statistics shown as having been known when this prediction was published.

Verified performance overview

The four headline metrics below use completed market outcomes for the selected market and period.

Verified Forecast Hit Rate
71.34%
Actual market reached the published forecast zone in 1,406 evaluated ranges.
Qualified Forecast Hit Rate
84.69%
Verified performance for forecasts meeting the current 70% qualification threshold.
Evaluated Ranges
1,406
Completed touched + not touched observations. Pending ranges are excluded.
Median Time to Touch
5m 24
Median time from range validity to the first verified market touch.
Verified Hit Rate is calculated after the market outcome is known.
Published TouchRate: 63.10% is the model estimate stored with the original forecast; it is not used as a substitute for the verified result.
Pending: 31 open ranges are excluded until their forecast horizon ends.

Market Replay: forecast vs. actual market

Forecast ranges and actual stored market candles on the same time axis. This makes individual outcomes visually inspectable.

Coinbase · BTC/USD

2026-11-02 09:03:00 → 2026-11-02 15:03:00 · 1 min candles

Actual market High / Low + Close 30 min forecast 60 min forecast 90 min forecast
Forecast zone = range_low → range_high during its published validity horizon. Market = stored High / Low + Close candles used by the validator.

Performance by 30 / 60 / 90 minute horizon

Verified hit rates are shown together with the corresponding model-published TouchRate for each prediction horizon.

30 min 472 evaluated
Forecast Hit 68.43%
Published TouchRate 51.32%
Qualified Hit 87.50%
Published TouchRate 81.97%
60 min 465 evaluated
Forecast Hit 68.60%
Published TouchRate 64.86%
Qualified Hit 85.94%
Published TouchRate 83.32%
90 min 469 evaluated
Forecast Hit 76.97%
Published TouchRate 73.21%
Qualified Hit 82.61%
Published TouchRate 82.60%

14-day verified performance trend

Daily verified performance reconstructed from completed forecast ranges for the latest 14 days available.

Forecast Hit Rate Qualified Forecast Hit Rate Published TouchRate
Qualified = published TouchRate ≥ 70%. Invalid, cancelled and pending outcomes are excluded.

Recent evaluated forecasts

A compact audit view of recently completed forecast ranges and their recorded result.

Forecast Market Horizon Forecast range Published TouchRate Result Verified touch
1793628115619-1590978
2026-11-02 15:01:36 		Coinbase
BTC 		60 min 77,838.9500 → 77,839.0400 72.00% touched 2026-11-02 15:02:00
@ 77,838.9500
1793627933734-1590191
2026-11-02 14:58:36 		Coinbase
BTC 		90 min 77,853.6800 → 77,853.8100 91.00% touched 2026-11-02 14:58:00
@ 77,853.8100
1793627753073-1589438
2026-11-02 14:55:36 		Coinbase
BTC 		90 min 77,790.2500 → 77,790.3800 86.00% touched 2026-11-02 14:59:00
@ 77,790.3800
1793627573007-1588692
2026-11-02 14:52:36 		Coinbase
BTC 		30 min 77,853.7700 → 77,863.0100 30.00% touched 2026-11-02 14:55:00
@ 77,853.7700
1793627573007-1588692
2026-11-02 14:52:36 		Coinbase
BTC 		60 min 77,814.3400 → 77,814.4300 72.00% touched 2026-11-02 14:53:00
@ 77,814.3400
1793627392656-1587936
2026-11-02 14:49:36 		Coinbase
BTC 		90 min 77,878.7900 → 77,878.9200 94.00% touched 2026-11-02 14:49:00
@ 77,878.9200
1793626854608-1585689
2026-11-02 14:40:36 		Coinbase
BTC 		30 min 78,029.6800 → 78,029.7400 24.00% touched 2026-11-02 14:40:00
@ 78,029.6800
1793626854608-1585689
2026-11-02 14:40:36 		Coinbase
BTC 		60 min 78,057.2700 → 78,057.3600 46.00% touched 2026-11-02 14:41:00
@ 78,057.2700
1793626854608-1585689
2026-11-02 14:40:36 		Coinbase
BTC 		90 min 77,929.9600 → 77,930.0800 96.00% touched 2026-11-02 14:40:00
@ 77,929.9600
1793626676242-1584947
2026-11-02 14:37:36 		Coinbase
BTC 		30 min 77,900.4100 → 77,905.9100 33.00% touched 2026-11-02 14:37:00
@ 77,900.4100
1793626676242-1584947
2026-11-02 14:37:36 		Coinbase
BTC 		60 min 77,814.6500 → 77,814.7500 50.00% touched 2026-11-02 14:37:00
@ 77,814.7000
1793626676242-1584947
2026-11-02 14:37:36 		Coinbase
BTC 		90 min 77,799.9700 → 77,800.0900 95.00% touched 2026-11-02 14:37:00
@ 77,800.0900
1793626313413-1583425
2026-11-02 14:31:36 		Coinbase
BTC 		30 min 77,477.5700 → 77,478.5500 46.00% not touched —
1793626133222-1582674
2026-11-02 14:28:35 		Coinbase
BTC 		30 min 77,526.9300 → 77,526.9800 79.00% touched 2026-11-02 14:30:00
@ 77,526.9800
1793625952786-1581922
2026-11-02 14:25:36 		Coinbase
BTC 		30 min 77,490.2900 → 77,490.3400 49.00% not touched —
1793625771285-1581193
2026-11-02 14:22:35 		Coinbase
BTC 		30 min 77,383.7300 → 77,389.9900 27.00% not touched —
1793625592506-1580439
2026-11-02 14:19:36 		Coinbase
BTC 		30 min 77,384.2000 → 77,384.2600 22.00% not touched —
1793625413486-1579669
2026-11-02 14:16:36 		Coinbase
BTC 		30 min 77,449.8900 → 77,449.9300 22.00% not touched —

How these statistics are calculated

Public performance numbers should be understandable as well as visible.

Verified Forecast Hit Rate

Each forecast range has a defined validity interval. Stored market candles are checked against that range. A range is marked touched when the actual market reaches the published forecast zone during its valid horizon.

Hit Rate uses only completed touched + not touched observations. Pending, invalid and cancelled records do not count toward the denominator.

Qualified Forecast Hit Rate

Qualified statistics apply the same market verification, but only to forecasts that pass the current qualification rule.

The current rule displayed on this page is a published TouchRate threshold of 70% or higher. This threshold can evolve as the qualification model is refined.

Published TouchRate

Published TouchRate is the estimate included with the original model output. It is shown alongside the later verified result so visitors can compare model expectation with observed performance.

It is not substituted for the verified market result.

Market verification data

The verification chart uses the same stored market candles used by the validation process. Forecast zones and real High / Low / Close price movement are plotted on the same time axis.

Statistics are calculated periodically. The exact calculation time is displayed at the top of the page.

Remark: Forecast outcomes are automatically verified by the Quantalis system by comparing published forecast ranges with stored market data. This is an internal system verification and does not represent independent third-party verification.
Important: These statistics describe historical analytical outputs and their subsequent comparison with market data. They do not guarantee future performance and do not constitute investment advice, recommendation or financial guidance.
Explore Quantalis

Turn verified statistics into a live market view.

Review available markets and plans, or start with Quantalis when you are ready to receive live analytical outputs.

See markets & pricing Get Started

© 2026 SALAZAR & Co. d.o.o. All rights reserved.