Publicly inspectable performance

Verified Quantalis Forecast Performance

Inspect how published Quantalis forecast ranges performed against stored market data. Select a market and period to review verified hit rates, forecast horizons, real market replay and completed forecast outcomes.

Clear
Enter the Quantalis forecast run ID to inspect that exact prediction, all published horizons and its market outcome.
Analytics powered by Galaksija Engine
Statistics period: 7D Last calculated: 27 Oct 2026, 04:40 Qualified threshold: 70%
24H 7D ALL TIME
Single Forecast Analysis

Forecast Run 1793071732771-3432974

Detailed inspection of the exact prediction recorded by Quantalis and its later market-verified outcome. Historical context below uses only forecasts published before this run.

Permanent view
Forecast ID 1793071732771-3432974
Published 2026-10-27 04:28:36
Market Coinbase · BTC/USD
Source price 79,654.9600
Run Hit Rate
100.00%
1 touched of 1 completed horizons.
Published TouchRate
76.67%
Average model estimate across this run's published horizons.
First Verified Touch
2026-10-27 04:30:00
Market price 79,662.8300.
Actual Market Range
79,633.9700 → 79,797.3200
Market low/high across the run's full published validity window.

Published horizons and verified outcomes

Every range stored under forecast run 1793071732771-3432974.

Horizon Published range TouchRate Valid interval Result Verified touch
30 min 79,662.8300 → 79,672.3100 89.00% 2026-10-27 04:28:36
→ 2026-10-27 04:58:36 		touched 2026-10-27 04:30:00
@ 79,662.8300
60 min 79,565.0700 → 79,565.1700 67.00% 2026-10-27 04:28:36
→ 2026-10-27 05:28:36 		pending —
90 min 79,545.8400 → 79,545.9700 74.00% 2026-10-27 04:28:36
→ 2026-10-27 05:58:36 		pending —
Historical context at publication time 71.47% same-market verified hit rate before this run
Prior evaluated ranges 88,444 only completed observations published earlier
Prior published TouchRate 68.70% model expectation before this run
Historical context is intentionally cut off at 2026-10-27 04:28:36 so future forecast outcomes cannot improve the statistics shown as having been known when this prediction was published.

Verified performance overview

The four headline metrics below use completed market outcomes for the selected market and period.

Verified Forecast Hit Rate
71.80%
Actual market reached the published forecast zone in 10,068 evaluated ranges.
Qualified Forecast Hit Rate
81.16%
Verified performance for forecasts meeting the current 70% qualification threshold.
Evaluated Ranges
10,068
Completed touched + not touched observations. Pending ranges are excluded.
Median Time to Touch
4m 25
Median time from range validity to the first verified market touch.
Verified Hit Rate is calculated after the market outcome is known.
Published TouchRate: 68.51% is the model estimate stored with the original forecast; it is not used as a substitute for the verified result.
Pending: 33 open ranges are excluded until their forecast horizon ends.

Market Replay: forecast vs. actual market

Forecast ranges and actual stored market candles on the same time axis. This makes individual outcomes visually inspectable.

Coinbase · BTC/USD

2026-10-26 22:41:00 → 2026-10-27 04:41:00 · 1 min candles

Actual market High / Low + Close 30 min forecast 60 min forecast 90 min forecast
Forecast zone = range_low → range_high during its published validity horizon. Market = stored High / Low + Close candles used by the validator.

Performance by 30 / 60 / 90 minute horizon

Verified hit rates are shown together with the corresponding model-published TouchRate for each prediction horizon.

30 min 3,359 evaluated
Forecast Hit 69.87%
Published TouchRate 60.02%
Qualified Hit 84.16%
Published TouchRate 84.00%
60 min 3,357 evaluated
Forecast Hit 72.80%
Published TouchRate 69.78%
Qualified Hit 81.73%
Published TouchRate 83.82%
90 min 3,352 evaluated
Forecast Hit 72.73%
Published TouchRate 75.75%
Qualified Hit 79.11%
Published TouchRate 85.33%

14-day verified performance trend

Daily verified performance reconstructed from completed forecast ranges for the latest 14 days available.

Forecast Hit Rate Qualified Forecast Hit Rate Published TouchRate
Qualified = published TouchRate ≥ 70%. Invalid, cancelled and pending outcomes are excluded.

Recent evaluated forecasts

A compact audit view of recently completed forecast ranges and their recorded result.

Forecast Market Horizon Forecast range Published TouchRate Result Verified touch
1793072452737-3435976
2026-10-27 04:40:36 		Coinbase
BTC 		60 min 79,766.1500 → 79,766.2500 97.00% touched 2026-10-27 04:40:00
@ 79,766.2500
1793072272447-3435239
2026-10-27 04:37:36 		Coinbase
BTC 		60 min 79,794.6100 → 79,794.7100 95.00% touched 2026-10-27 04:38:00
@ 79,794.6100
1793072092317-3434474
2026-10-27 04:34:36 		Coinbase
BTC 		60 min 79,728.5800 → 79,728.6800 92.00% touched 2026-10-27 04:34:00
@ 79,728.6800
1793071914265-3433715
2026-10-27 04:31:36 		Coinbase
BTC 		30 min 79,656.3400 → 79,656.3800 50.00% touched 2026-10-27 04:31:00
@ 79,656.3600
1793071732771-3432974
2026-10-27 04:28:36 		Coinbase
BTC 		30 min 79,662.8300 → 79,672.3100 89.00% touched 2026-10-27 04:30:00
@ 79,662.8300
1793070653820-3428503
2026-10-27 04:10:36 		Coinbase
BTC 		30 min 79,567.4900 → 79,567.5400 39.00% touched 2026-10-27 04:10:00
@ 79,567.5400
1793070653820-3428503
2026-10-27 04:10:36 		Coinbase
BTC 		60 min 79,516.5600 → 79,516.6600 50.00% touched 2026-10-27 04:18:00
@ 79,516.6600
1793070473844-3427743
2026-10-27 04:07:36 		Coinbase
BTC 		30 min 79,477.3800 → 79,477.4300 24.00% not touched —
1793070293844-3426356
2026-10-27 04:04:36 		Coinbase
BTC 		30 min 79,499.3800 → 79,499.4300 25.00% touched 2026-10-27 04:18:00
@ 79,499.4300
1793070114202-3425629
2026-10-27 04:01:36 		Coinbase
BTC 		30 min 79,564.1900 → 79,564.2400 30.00% touched 2026-10-27 04:08:00
@ 79,564.2400
1793070114202-3425629
2026-10-27 04:01:36 		Coinbase
BTC 		60 min 79,524.9300 → 79,525.0300 48.00% touched 2026-10-27 04:17:00
@ 79,525.0300
1793069931617-3424814
2026-10-27 03:58:36 		Coinbase
BTC 		30 min 79,507.3400 → 79,507.3800 23.00% touched 2026-10-27 04:18:00
@ 79,507.3800
1793069751776-3424086
2026-10-27 03:55:36 		Coinbase
BTC 		30 min 79,624.6500 → 79,624.7000 23.00% touched 2026-10-27 03:57:00
@ 79,624.7000
1793069751776-3424086
2026-10-27 03:55:36 		Coinbase
BTC 		60 min 79,631.5200 → 79,631.6200 59.00% touched 2026-10-27 03:57:00
@ 79,631.6200
1793069751776-3424086
2026-10-27 03:55:36 		Coinbase
BTC 		90 min 79,664.9700 → 79,665.1000 80.00% touched 2026-10-27 03:57:00
@ 79,665.1000
1793069571435-3423343
2026-10-27 03:52:36 		Coinbase
BTC 		30 min 79,705.4100 → 79,707.4300 42.00% touched 2026-10-27 03:57:00
@ 79,707.4300
1793069571435-3423343
2026-10-27 03:52:36 		Coinbase
BTC 		60 min 79,706.1600 → 79,706.2600 69.00% touched 2026-10-27 03:57:00
@ 79,706.2600
1793069571435-3423343
2026-10-27 03:52:36 		Coinbase
BTC 		90 min 79,694.1200 → 79,694.2500 75.00% touched 2026-10-27 03:57:00
@ 79,694.2500

How these statistics are calculated

Public performance numbers should be understandable as well as visible.

Verified Forecast Hit Rate

Each forecast range has a defined validity interval. Stored market candles are checked against that range. A range is marked touched when the actual market reaches the published forecast zone during its valid horizon.

Hit Rate uses only completed touched + not touched observations. Pending, invalid and cancelled records do not count toward the denominator.

Qualified Forecast Hit Rate

Qualified statistics apply the same market verification, but only to forecasts that pass the current qualification rule.

The current rule displayed on this page is a published TouchRate threshold of 70% or higher. This threshold can evolve as the qualification model is refined.

Published TouchRate

Published TouchRate is the estimate included with the original model output. It is shown alongside the later verified result so visitors can compare model expectation with observed performance.

It is not substituted for the verified market result.

Market verification data

The verification chart uses the same stored market candles used by the validation process. Forecast zones and real High / Low / Close price movement are plotted on the same time axis.

Statistics are calculated periodically. The exact calculation time is displayed at the top of the page.

Remark: Forecast outcomes are automatically verified by the Quantalis system by comparing published forecast ranges with stored market data. This is an internal system verification and does not represent independent third-party verification.
Important: These statistics describe historical analytical outputs and their subsequent comparison with market data. They do not guarantee future performance and do not constitute investment advice, recommendation or financial guidance.
Explore Quantalis

Turn verified statistics into a live market view.

Review available markets and plans, or start with Quantalis when you are ready to receive live analytical outputs.

See markets & pricing Get Started

© 2026 SALAZAR & Co. d.o.o. All rights reserved.