Publicly inspectable performance

Verified Quantalis Forecast Performance

Inspect how published Quantalis forecast ranges performed against stored market data. Select a market and period to review verified hit rates, forecast horizons, real market replay and completed forecast outcomes.

Clear
Enter the Quantalis forecast run ID to inspect that exact prediction, all published horizons and its market outcome.
Analytics powered by Galaksija Engine
Statistics period: 7D Last calculated: 01 Nov 2026, 23:00 Qualified threshold: 70%
24H 7D ALL TIME
Single Forecast Analysis

Forecast Run 1793564752007-1324250

Detailed inspection of the exact prediction recorded by Quantalis and its later market-verified outcome. Historical context below uses only forecasts published before this run.

Permanent view
Forecast ID 1793564752007-1324250
Published 2026-11-01 21:25:36
Market Coinbase · BTC/USD
Source price 77,624.8800
Run Hit Rate
33.33%
1 touched of 3 completed horizons.
Published TouchRate
83.67%
Average model estimate across this run's published horizons.
First Verified Touch
2026-11-01 21:26:00
Market price 77,618.0500.
Actual Market Range
77,614.9900 → 77,862.0800
Market low/high across the run's full published validity window.

Published horizons and verified outcomes

Every range stored under forecast run 1793564752007-1324250.

Horizon Published range TouchRate Valid interval Result Verified touch
30 min 77,618.0000 → 77,618.0500 90.00% 2026-11-01 21:25:36
→ 2026-11-01 21:55:36 		touched 2026-11-01 21:26:00
@ 77,618.0500
60 min 77,604.5500 → 77,604.6500 86.00% 2026-11-01 21:25:36
→ 2026-11-01 22:25:36 		not touched —
90 min 77,563.9500 → 77,564.0700 75.00% 2026-11-01 21:25:36
→ 2026-11-01 22:55:36 		not touched —
Historical context at publication time 71.64% same-market verified hit rate before this run
Prior evaluated ranges 96,651 only completed observations published earlier
Prior published TouchRate 68.71% model expectation before this run
Historical context is intentionally cut off at 2026-11-01 21:25:36 so future forecast outcomes cannot improve the statistics shown as having been known when this prediction was published.

Verified performance overview

The four headline metrics below use completed market outcomes for the selected market and period.

Verified Forecast Hit Rate
73.07%
Actual market reached the published forecast zone in 9,994 evaluated ranges.
Qualified Forecast Hit Rate
81.67%
Verified performance for forecasts meeting the current 70% qualification threshold.
Evaluated Ranges
9,994
Completed touched + not touched observations. Pending ranges are excluded.
Median Time to Touch
4m 25
Median time from range validity to the first verified market touch.
Verified Hit Rate is calculated after the market outcome is known.
Published TouchRate: 68.68% is the model estimate stored with the original forecast; it is not used as a substitute for the verified result.
Pending: 35 open ranges are excluded until their forecast horizon ends.

Market Replay: forecast vs. actual market

Forecast ranges and actual stored market candles on the same time axis. This makes individual outcomes visually inspectable.

Coinbase · BTC/USD

2026-11-01 17:03:00 → 2026-11-01 23:03:00 · 1 min candles

Actual market High / Low + Close 30 min forecast 60 min forecast 90 min forecast
Forecast zone = range_low → range_high during its published validity horizon. Market = stored High / Low + Close candles used by the validator.

Performance by 30 / 60 / 90 minute horizon

Verified hit rates are shown together with the corresponding model-published TouchRate for each prediction horizon.

30 min 3,338 evaluated
Forecast Hit 71.39%
Published TouchRate 59.80%
Qualified Hit 84.95%
Published TouchRate 82.54%
60 min 3,330 evaluated
Forecast Hit 73.27%
Published TouchRate 70.75%
Qualified Hit 81.39%
Published TouchRate 83.22%
90 min 3,326 evaluated
Forecast Hit 74.56%
Published TouchRate 75.52%
Qualified Hit 80.12%
Published TouchRate 84.67%

14-day verified performance trend

Daily verified performance reconstructed from completed forecast ranges for the latest 14 days available.

Forecast Hit Rate Qualified Forecast Hit Rate Published TouchRate
Qualified = published TouchRate ≥ 70%. Invalid, cancelled and pending outcomes are excluded.

Recent evaluated forecasts

A compact audit view of recently completed forecast ranges and their recorded result.

Forecast Market Horizon Forecast range Published TouchRate Result Verified touch
1793570151424-1346908
2026-11-01 22:55:36 		Coinbase
BTC 		60 min 77,792.8500 → 77,792.9500 96.00% touched 2026-11-01 22:55:00
@ 77,792.9500
1793569971169-1346156
2026-11-01 22:52:36 		Coinbase
BTC 		30 min 77,783.0500 → 77,783.1000 82.00% touched 2026-11-01 22:52:00
@ 77,783.0500
1793569250702-1343143
2026-11-01 22:40:35 		Coinbase
BTC 		30 min 77,850.4100 → 77,850.4600 77.00% touched 2026-11-01 22:46:00
@ 77,850.4100
1793569070333-1342407
2026-11-01 22:37:35 		Coinbase
BTC 		30 min 77,840.7400 → 77,840.7900 82.00% touched 2026-11-01 22:42:00
@ 77,840.7400
1793568890524-1341624
2026-11-01 22:34:35 		Coinbase
BTC 		30 min 77,824.6800 → 77,824.7400 50.00% touched 2026-11-01 22:34:00
@ 77,824.7100
1793568710714-1340891
2026-11-01 22:31:35 		Coinbase
BTC 		30 min 77,808.0900 → 77,808.1300 50.00% touched 2026-11-01 22:31:00
@ 77,808.1100
1793568710714-1340891
2026-11-01 22:31:35 		Coinbase
BTC 		90 min 77,853.1100 → 77,853.2400 83.00% touched 2026-11-01 22:46:00
@ 77,853.1100
1793568531052-1340117
2026-11-01 22:28:35 		Coinbase
BTC 		30 min 77,792.7700 → 77,792.8300 50.00% touched 2026-11-01 22:28:00
@ 77,792.8000
1793568351849-1339382
2026-11-01 22:25:36 		Coinbase
BTC 		30 min 77,756.3100 → 77,756.3600 69.00% not touched —
1793568351849-1339382
2026-11-01 22:25:36 		Coinbase
BTC 		60 min 77,860.9600 → 77,861.0600 53.00% touched 2026-11-01 22:46:00
@ 77,860.9600
1793568351849-1339382
2026-11-01 22:25:36 		Coinbase
BTC 		90 min 77,841.1500 → 77,841.2800 77.00% touched 2026-11-01 22:42:00
@ 77,841.1500
1793568171804-1338613
2026-11-01 22:22:35 		Coinbase
BTC 		30 min 77,724.2200 → 77,724.2700 70.00% not touched —
1793568171804-1338613
2026-11-01 22:22:35 		Coinbase
BTC 		60 min 77,829.9300 → 77,830.0200 52.00% touched 2026-11-01 22:30:00
@ 77,829.9300
1793568171804-1338613
2026-11-01 22:22:35 		Coinbase
BTC 		90 min 77,794.3000 → 77,794.4300 82.00% touched 2026-11-01 22:29:00
@ 77,794.3000
1793567990945-1337858
2026-11-01 22:19:35 		Coinbase
BTC 		30 min 77,750.7900 → 77,750.8400 86.00% touched 2026-11-01 22:19:00
@ 77,750.8400
1793567990945-1337858
2026-11-01 22:19:35 		Coinbase
BTC 		60 min 77,847.3600 → 77,847.4600 50.00% touched 2026-11-01 22:46:00
@ 77,847.3600
1793567990945-1337858
2026-11-01 22:19:35 		Coinbase
BTC 		90 min 77,817.2700 → 77,817.4000 79.00% touched 2026-11-01 22:30:00
@ 77,817.2700
1793567810711-1337106
2026-11-01 22:16:35 		Coinbase
BTC 		30 min 77,793.8000 → 77,793.8500 86.00% touched 2026-11-01 22:29:00
@ 77,793.8000

How these statistics are calculated

Public performance numbers should be understandable as well as visible.

Verified Forecast Hit Rate

Each forecast range has a defined validity interval. Stored market candles are checked against that range. A range is marked touched when the actual market reaches the published forecast zone during its valid horizon.

Hit Rate uses only completed touched + not touched observations. Pending, invalid and cancelled records do not count toward the denominator.

Qualified Forecast Hit Rate

Qualified statistics apply the same market verification, but only to forecasts that pass the current qualification rule.

The current rule displayed on this page is a published TouchRate threshold of 70% or higher. This threshold can evolve as the qualification model is refined.

Published TouchRate

Published TouchRate is the estimate included with the original model output. It is shown alongside the later verified result so visitors can compare model expectation with observed performance.

It is not substituted for the verified market result.

Market verification data

The verification chart uses the same stored market candles used by the validation process. Forecast zones and real High / Low / Close price movement are plotted on the same time axis.

Statistics are calculated periodically. The exact calculation time is displayed at the top of the page.

Remark: Forecast outcomes are automatically verified by the Quantalis system by comparing published forecast ranges with stored market data. This is an internal system verification and does not represent independent third-party verification.
Important: These statistics describe historical analytical outputs and their subsequent comparison with market data. They do not guarantee future performance and do not constitute investment advice, recommendation or financial guidance.
Explore Quantalis

Turn verified statistics into a live market view.

Review available markets and plans, or start with Quantalis when you are ready to receive live analytical outputs.

See markets & pricing Get Started

© 2026 SALAZAR & Co. d.o.o. All rights reserved.